OK. Some fun. Should let me know if you're directing something to me, though.
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Originally Posted by cbwm
Ya ya ya. I've got some right, I've got some wrong. What do you want, I don't have a crystal ball and neither do you.
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A little logical analysis will allow a much better idea of the probable future than a crystal ball.
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Originally Posted by cbwm
Sooooo, just for fun I thought I'd throw out some prediction topics and my pics, kind of like a football pool.
1) How many days of successive Dow losses following Obama's selection as president elect, and where will it bottom?
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Predictions using exact numerical results have virtually no probability of being correct.
I personally do not understand macro economics sufficiently well to make such a prediction. However, I can assert that with an ear to people like Warren Buffet and an open mind (which I claim Obama has), he will be willing, able, and prepared enough reduce the overall length.
Quote:
Originally Posted by cbwm
2) Will Obama reach out to the middle to bring the nation together and run a moderate government (Cite examples).
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Who really gives a ****? For laughs I listened to the Hannity Hate Hours and Limbaugh (for a few minutes each -- I'm not that tolerant of such hate mongering) and thought it very interesting that they both chimed, "McCain got 57 million votes! Don't ignore those people." while I challenge you to cite an example anywhere in the last 10 years where Republicans kept in mind that Democrats weren't elected only because of Supreme Injustices and very thin margins.
Republicans lost. Period. Now it's time for them to take a back seat and shut up for awhile while someone else gives it their best shot. In the meantime they may want to revise the Religion 1st, Capitalism 2nd, Country 3rd priorities and policies.
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Originally Posted by cbwm
3) Will the CA gay marriage ban be overturned (again) in the courts, and to what end?
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One of the great flaws in a unbridled democracy is that the will of the majority can be used to impose the views of one group on another group. To rectify this, our founders placed restrictions upon government in the form of the Constitution. One such restriction is that govt should not be the tool for or against any religious views. Religious zealots who work to overthrow any constitution to restrict others to complying with their views are not patriots and do not represent what our country ought to stand for: Freedom.
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Originally Posted by cbwm
4) Will Obama be pro union or pro globalization and to what end?
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Both and neither. To be pro something means to support it. To be pro can also mean to take agressive action for it.
I don't recall too much on what he's said here, but the
impression I get is that he is for unions b/c they help to tame abusive company leaders and for globalization provided that it doesn't weaken the US in the process.
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Originally Posted by cbwm
5) Will Iran be allowed to have a nuclear program?
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No, but they may get energy if sufficient restrictions can be put in place that a number of countries feel reasonably safe against abuse of the privilege (or -- not that Obama has mentioned this -- they could get their energy elsewhere, but I don't know the energy politics of the region).
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Originally Posted by cbwm
6) Will Russia be allowed to continue to occupy Georgia and put missiles on the border of Poland?
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Not sure about the Poland question, but if it references the 43rd's desire to put weapons near Russia, then that may become a bridge-to-nowhere project.
As for Georgia, you have to look at what the politics of the invasion was. There were 2 reasons:
1) Russia wanted Georgia to have a conflict to keep it out of some world org.
2) Russia wanted to cause problems to ensure McCain didn't get elected (NO FACTS HERE, JUST SUPPOSITION based on the fact that the 43rd has been nothing short of an *** to Russia).
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Originally Posted by cbwm
7) Will Obama withdraw from Iraq any faster than the military leadership is currently recommending?
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Have you not been watching the 43rd's presidency? Every time he wanted to change policy or do something stupid, he got a general (or whatever rank) to say exactly the 43rd's policy. Obama is the Commander-in-Chief. He
is the military leadership.
War, it should be noted, is not simply a matter of force, but political maneuvering. That is a good reason that a politician should be the head of the military -- there is much more to take into account than just the conditions on some ground.
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Originally Posted by cbwm
8) Will Obama legislate "Equal Time" in talk radio, or attack other areas of conservative free speech?
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Fear mongering is not predicting.
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Originally Posted by cbwm
My predictions as follows:
1) 7 days of losses bottoming out around 7k
2) No. Entire cabinet will be staffed from the left end of the Dem party, with very little influence of the outside independent advisors(Buffet etc).
3) No. Will need to go to a federal court for what they want, even though they dont want to go there right now.
4) Pro union. Renegotiated treaties will bring some overseas jobs back home, while tarnishing his image abroad.
5) Yes. Hes not willing to do what it takes to prevent it.
6) Yes
7) No
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OK. My answers were a bit more verbose.
Quote:
Originally Posted by cbwm
8) No, or, at least I hope not. The threat of law suits against 527s during the campaign were very concerning.
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For lying? That's called something: libel. It happens to be illegal. Should be easy enough for them to tell the truth, so why make it up?
