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I'd say the adwords keyword tracker isn't very accurate.
I've been ranked for "competitive keywords" according to it and I didn't see much of an increase in my traffic from that keyword.
Example:
I was ranked #4 for a competitive keyword that have roughly 1,000,000 searches per month. I was ranked #3, #4, and #5 for around 6 days and if I were to get the traffic I'd hoped for I would have gotten at least 10,000 visitors total for those 6 days. But I only got around 350 visitors for that keyword.
No keyword tracking tool can be completely accurate. But if you're ranked for a keyword where the tool says there are 1billion searches per month then I'd say you're pretty safe lol
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