In a couple different forums I've seen lots of 'goodbye' posts pop up in a small amount of time (a few days to a few weeks or more). Logically, there has to be a first 'goodbye' post in a group like that. It seems one person posts that they're leaving (usually because they're being flamed by pm, a mod deleted their post, they think that there are too many trolls in the forum, etc) then a couple more post and it turns into a stream of members leaving.
One example of this is a forum my sister goes to: virtualhorseranch.com. There's 3 or 4 "i'm leaving"/"quitting..."/"please stop flaming me" type posts in the first page right now. In most forums you might see one of these every half a dozen pages at least.
I'm guessing that it's related to " Copycat suicide" <- Good page from wikipedia; especially relevant is the 'social proof' section. If you want to read more about this get Cialdini's book from the library; I read it and thought it was really interesting. (Disclaimer: I don't work for Cialdini or Wikipedia, and that isn't a affiliate link. :-P )
So what can you do in your forum if you see a "I'm leaving!" post to keep your members from flooding out?
Someway of disproving the 'social proof' that the leaving member is proving? What do you think?
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